Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella has recently launched a personal blog called "SN Scratchpad," aiming to share his thoughts on the future of artificial intelligence (AI). In his first article on the blog, Nadella explores the development of AI and its potential impact on society. He points out that the current discussion about whether AI is "low-quality content" or "high-end technology" has strayed from the core issue. The real challenge lies in using AI as a "cognitive amplifier" to transform human thinking.

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Nadella believes 2026 will be a key turning point in AI development. He points out that the industry will move from the "exploration phase" to the "diffusion phase," meaning the practical application of technology will become more important. He emphasizes that future discussions should not focus only on the capabilities of technology, but on how to build systems that bring long-term value to society. He points out that AI development is no longer a competition between companies' models, but a system-level challenge that requires attention to orchestration capabilities, security, and compliance at the societal level.

In terms of the technical development path, Nadella mentions that AI will evolve from a single "model" to a complex "system." Future AI systems will need to coordinate multiple models and agents, have capabilities such as long-term memory and permission management, and enable secure and controllable tool usage. He emphasizes that these architectural capabilities will truly reflect the complexity of AI technology.

Nadella also points out that AI's social impact is closely related to the allocation of scarce resources such as computing power, energy, and talent. This is a matter requiring social consensus. He states that although Microsoft has already invested hundreds of billions of dollars in AI infrastructure and collaboration, having technological advantages alone is far from enough. He emphasizes that AI development should always revolve around empowering individuals and organizations, so that it can become one of the profound waves of computing.

Key Points:  

🌟 Nadella emphasizes in his personal blog that AI development will enter a new diffusion phase in 2026.  

🤖 He believes future AI discussions should focus on creating systems that provide long-term value, rather than focusing on individual technological capabilities.  

🔧 AI will shift from a single model to a complex system, with higher levels of security and coordination capabilities.