Doom Developer's Prediction: General Artificial Intelligence Will Arise Around 2030


OpenAI's official merchandise store, previously exclusive to employees, is now public. Its minimalist, geek-themed items quickly sold out, serving as both souvenirs and a tribute to AGI.....
DeepMind co-founder Shane Legg predicts a 50% chance of achieving 'minimal AGI' within two years, capable of most human cognitive tasks, while 'full AGI' includes all human cognitive abilities like scientific innovation and artistic creation.....
OpenAI Codex lead notes human typing speed limits AGI progress, as manual prompt writing and result verification remain necessary. He stresses that without automated validation, AGI advancement faces bottlenecks even if AI can observe human work.....
Zhang Yutong, as President of Moonshot AI, presented at Tsinghua University, overseeing strategy, commercialization, funding, and product development. A Tsinghua alumna like founder Yang Zhilin, she previously led investment in his former company, Recurrent AI. After AGI breakthroughs in late 2022, Yang left his prior role to focus on the new venture.....
Elon Musk predicts Grok 5 in Q1 next year has ~10% chance of achieving AGI. Features: 6T parameter MoE, 70% sparsity, multimodal encoding, <120ms latency, trained on X's 500M daily posts and 200M video hours with real-time feedback.....